Global Economy Rebounds, But For How Long?
Mohammad Ali (@ChaudhryMAli88) Published December 02, 2021 | 05:40 AM
Paris, Dec 1 (UrduPoint / Pakistan Point News - 2nd Dec, 2021 ) :The world economy woke up from its pandemic-induced coma in 2021, but soaring inflation, global supply chain bottlenecks and a resurgent coronavirus have taken the shine off the comeback.
Now growth is at risk of weakening next year.
Here is a look at the state of the global economy: - Uneven recovery - Countries have posted impressive growth figures as they clawed their way out of the depths of the 2020 Covid-induced recession, but some are faring better than others as wealthier countries have had better access to vaccines.
The United States has overcome its worst downturn since the Great Depression while the eurozone's economy could return to pre-pandemic levels by the end of the year.
But a resurgence of the coronavirus could scupper the recovery, with the emergence of the Omicron variant raising new concerns.
"Covid-19 will remain a public health threat, particularly in countries where vaccination rates remain low," said analysts at Moody's credit ratings agency.
With a 2.5 percent vaccination rate, the economy of sub-Saharan Africa is growing at a slower click, according to the International Monetary Fund.
Most emerging and developing countries should remain far behind their pre-pandemic forecasts by 2024, the IMF says.
Central banks in Brazil, Russia and South Korea have raised interest rates to combat rising inflation, a move that could rein in growth.
China, the world's second biggest economy and a driver of global growth, is facing a slew of risks: New coronavirus cases, an energy crunch and fears over the debt crisis at real estate giant Evergrande.
- Inflation soars - Inflation has accelerated to multi-year highs around the world, as consumers returned with a vengeance and industries faced shortages.
Prices have soared across the board, with oil, natural gas and raw materials such as wood, copper and steel going through the roof.
"The biggest surprise of 2021 has been the goods-led inflation surge," Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a 2022 outlook.
Central banks insist the inflationary pressure is a temporary consequence of economic activity returning to normal this year after it came to a halt when the pandemic erupted in 2020.
Stock markets have hit new record highs this year, but investors are concerned that central banks will withdraw their stimulus programmes and raise interest rates earlier than expected to tame inflation.
"The question is whether we really are in the end of the crisis," said Roel Beetsma professor of macroeconomics at the University of Amsterdam.
- Widespread shortages - Industries have struggled to keep up with a surge in demand from consumers.
Global trade has been disrupted by insufficient shipping containers, congestion at ports and labour shortages.
One key component that is hard to come by these days is semiconductors, chips used in everything from phones to video game consoles to the electronic systems of cars.
The shortage has been so bad that several automakers have had to temporarily halt production at some factories.
Labour shortages have added to the problem as truck drivers, port workers and cashiers have not returned to work following lockdowns.
Despite the difficulties, the IMF expects the world economy to grow by a healthy 4.9 percent next year.
- Climate change - In addition to the pandemic, economies had to come to grips with another life-threatening event this year: climate change.
The conflict between economic growth and saving the planet came to the fore at the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, this month.
Nearly 200 nations signed a deal to try to halt runaway global warming after two weeks of painful negotiations, but fell short of what scientists say is needed to contain dangerous rises.
Droughts and other climate catastrophes threaten to further drive up food prices, which jumped to a 10-year high in October, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.
Wheat has soared by 40 percent in the past year while dairy products are up 15 percent and vegetable oils reach new records.
"It's pretty obvious. Everything has gone up," said Nabiha Abid, a resident of Tunisia's capital, noting that the price of meat has doubled.
Related Topics
Recent Stories
Wheat procurement drive in Sargodha from April 22
Supreme Court dismisses accused's bail plea
Punjab Minister for Health and Emergency Services Khawaja Salman Rafique outline ..
Police claim to arrest four outlaws with illegal weapons
Islamabad to host LIIBS 7th edition on April 23, 24
Minister inspects under construction Jahanzeb College building
Dera is set to witness by-elections for NA-44 on April 21
Traffic Police launch cracks down on tinted glasses
Condolence reference held in memory of FBR's officials
Court aims to wrap Trump jury selection ahead of opening arguments
Sindh Minister for Industries and Commerce, Jam Saifullah Dharejo for improving ..
Croatia top court bars president from becoming next PM
More Stories From Miscellaneous
-
Transforming education sector: from job hunters to job creators
9 hours ago -
Amjad Bobby remembered on 19th death anniversary for timeless contributions to music
4 days ago -
Legendary actor Nadeem’s 26 films released on Eid-ul-Fitr days in 50 years
5 days ago -
Besant Hall Cultural Centre to celebrate evening with Sanam Marvi on 26 April
5 days ago -
Radio Bahawalpur presents program “Eidi Shidi”
8 days ago -
Radio Bahawalpur to broadcast Eid programs
10 days ago
-
DC, DPO Haripur inspect bus terminals to review fares compliance
12 days ago -
Second phase of refugees’ repatriation to start after Eidul Fitr vacations
12 days ago -
Reaping bounties as Ramazan culminates
12 days ago -
Digital transformation – a boon or bane
12 days ago -
Plants’ business: Another casualty of climate change
14 days ago -
Eid shoppers prioritize children’s joy over personal comforts
14 days ago